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Dont blame Jimmie Johnson if he feels confident about his chances advancing from the semifinal Round of 8 to one of the four drivers eligible for the championship at Homestead. He has earned any swagger he takes into this weekend at Martinsville.Johnson has 18 career victories at the three tracks in the semifinal round -- eight at Martinsville, six at Texas and four at Phoenix. His average finish at those tracks: 7.5, 8.3 and 7.8. Any conversation about Johnson winning his seventh Cup championship can start in earnest now as he should have that chance in less than four weeks.While Kevin Harvick does have eight career wins at Phoenix and Denny Hamlin has five at Martinsville, neither driver can boast of such a record across the three tracks. Hamlin, Kyle Busch and Kurt Busch are the only drivers other than Johnson who have won a Cup race at each track in the round.Winning will be big because a driver with one bad race likely wont advance on points when field is cut from eight to four; only one spot is guaranteed by points if the three races are won by three Chase drivers.Heres the outlook for the drivers, listed by their current NASCAR seeding, going into the semifinal round:1. Joey LoganoTeam Penske No. 22 FordSecond-round wins: OneSecond-round points: 3,089 (third)Why he will advance: His six Chase wins in the last three seasons is tied with Harvick for the most since the elimination-style format started in 2014. He carries the momentum from the win at Talladega. Oh, and he hasnt made anyone mad in the Chase this year.Why he wont: These three tracks do not rank among his top eight Sprint Cup tracks and the only one where he has a win is Texas. While third at Texas earlier this year, he was 11th at Martinsville and 18th at Phoenix.2. Jimmie JohnsonHendrick Motorsports No. 48 ChevroletSecond-round wins: OneSecond-round points: 3,100 (first)Why he will advance: Didnt you read the introduction? Hes won 18 times at the three tracks in this round. The only reason hes never had a chance at Homestead in this format is because he never made it to this round.Why he wont: Only twice this year has he had three-race stretches of top-10 finishes -- once early in the year and then with a four-race stretch in the Chase prior to Talladega. If the Toyotas have another level to bring to the track the way Johnson went from pre-August to now, then hes in trouble.3. Kevin HarvickStewart-Haas Racing No. 4 ChevroletSecond-round wins: OneSecond-round points: 3,082 (sixth)Why he will advance: His four wins this year ties him with Kyle Busch for the most among the remaining drivers in the Chase. One of those wins came at Phoenix, where he has won five of the last six races, and he did it in spectacular fashion by beating Edwards by inches. He has eight career wins at Phoenix and one at Martinsville.Why he wont: Inconsistency could end up biting this team in the semifinal round. In the Chase, he has three top-10 finishes and three finishes of 20th or worse. He cant rely on just winning in the clutch every round -- the odds say hes due for a round where he wont win.4. Matt KensethJoe Gibbs Racing No. 20 ToyotaSecond-round wins: NoneSecond-round points: 3,088 (fourth)Why he will advance: He led 116 laps at the last intermediate track and 105 laps at the last flat 1-mile track. That bodes well for the races at Texas and Phoenix. Of all the Toyotas, he finished the last round with the most points.Why he wont:?Logano will take him out this year to repay for last year. Just kidding. The biggest question for Kenseth is whether he can win in the clutch in a three-race stretch at tracks where he has just a combined three wins and didnt record a top-5 this year.5. Carl EdwardsJoe Gibbs Racing No. 19 ToyotaSecond-round wins: NoneSecond-round points: 3,082 (seventh)Why he will advance: Some of his best non-winning races this year came in races at tracks in the semifinal rounds. He led 65 laps on his way to finishing second at Phoenix and 124 laps on his way to finishing seventh at Texas. Edwards and crew chief Dave Rogers have considerable Chase experience, and dont discount that when things get tough. Plus, what are the odds of a rainstorm keeping him from advancing as it did last year at Phoenix?Why he wont: He has recorded just one top-5 finish in his last 14 races. That inconsistency wont get it done in this round.6. Denny HamlinJoe Gibbs Racing No. 11 ToyotaSecond-round wins: NoneSecond-round points: 3,078 (eighth)Why he will advance: He has won five times at Martinsville, including in March 2015, so he has a chance of a win or a great finish to open the round and build his confidence. After barely getting out of the quarterfinal round -- he needed a tiebreaker to advance --Hamlin and his rejuvenated team have an energized outlook.Why he wont: Hamlin isnt exactly Mr. November as he seems to be the victim of mechanical gremlins or misfortune every year. He might have a false sense of confidence even at Martinsville -- he hasnt won the October race at Martinsville since 2009.7. Kurt BuschStewart-Haas Racing No. 41 ChevroletSecond-round wins: NoneSecond-round points: 3,099 (second)Why he will advance: He has been the epitome of consistently doing what it takes to advance. He hasnt finished worse than 15th in the Chase, and hes going to three tracks where he finished no worse than 13th earlier this year. Plus hes a Cubs fan and theres something in the air called destiny.Why he wont: He has been the epitome of consistently doing what it takes to advance. In this round, a driver has to do more. Hes going to three tracks where he finished no better than sixth earlier this year. Plus hes a Cubs fan and theres something in the air called being cursed.8. Kyle BuschJoe Gibbs Racing No. 18 ToyotaSecond-round wins: NoneSecond-round points: 3,084 (fifth)Why he will advance: He won at Martinsville and Texas earlier this year and led 461 laps in the races at Martinsville, Texas and Phoenix. While he hasnt won a race since the Brickyard, he had a second, third, fifth and sixth in the four races leading into Talladega. Busch and Johnson appear as close to a lock to advance more than anyone else in this round.Why he wont: Parts and pieces can break. Tires can blow. 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In between winning five Olympic medals, Simone Biles found time to do an interview with Good Morning America while in Rio de Janeiro and was promised a pizza party upon her return to the United States.On Wednesday, the television program made good on its promise. During an interview in the Times Square studio, Biles was surprised by hosts Robin Roberts and Michael Strahan and her Final Five teammate Laurie Hernandez with some delicious pies.OK, while she didnt seem especially excited, perhapps it was because she was trying to keep it professional on TV.dddddddddddd She did, however, answer a number of questions on her time in Rio, future plans and adjusting to life as a celebrity. These days, life is pretty good for Simone Biles.See something entertaining on social media that you think deserves to be shared? Let me know on Twitter, @darcymaine_espn. ' ' '